Motley Moose – Archive

Here are some of the early reviews of the performances of the two candidates last night:

Rasmussen now has Obama much further ahead than it has had Obama since the conclusion of the Democratic Convention:

Obama 50

McCain 45

Halperin has new numbers from a number of battleground states.  You will note one consistent feature among all of these Marist polls: Barack Obama is ahead.

There more and more noise in the blogosphere and in the mainstream media about the Palin farce.  I wonder if it’s going to come to a head in some way or other.

Andrew Sullivan today has published on his blog 12 documented lies of Governor Palin:

– She has lied about the Bridge To Nowhere. She ran for office favoring it, wore a sweatshirt defending it, and only gave it up when the federal congress, Senator McCain in particular, went ballistic. She kept the money anyway and favors funding Don Young’s Way, at twice the cost of the original bridge.

– She has lied about her firing of the town librarian and police chief of Wasilla, Alaska.

– She has lied about pressure on Alaska’s public safety commissioner to fire her ex-brother-in-law.

– She has lied about her previous statements on climate change.

– She has lied about Alaska’s contribution to America’s oil and gas production.

– She has lied about when she asked her daughters for their permission for her to run for vice-president.

– She has lied about the actual progress in constructing a natural gas pipeline from Alaska.

– She has lied about Obama’s position on habeas corpus.

– She has lied about her alleged tolerance of homosexuality.

– She has lied about the use or non-use of a TelePrompter at the St Paul convention.

– She has lied about her alleged pay-cut as mayor of Wasilla.

– She has lied about what Alaska’s state scientists concluded about the health of the polar bear population in Alaska.

He concludes that we cannot trust anything she says.  

(Cross-posted at Clintonistas for Obama)

I thought it might be interesting to get a sense of the basic current view of Internet prognosticators of the Electoral College outcomes.  Three Blue Dudes provides an overview to 84 sites on the web that use various methods to project trends in the Electoral College.  Twenty-one of those web sites updated their projections yesterday, September 22.  Of those 21 sites, 17 gave Obama the advantage in the Electoral College, two gave the advantage to McCain, and two projected a tie.  Neither of the sites that saw an advantage for McCain projected he had enough electoral votes to claim the presidency: just that he had an advantage among the states they felt they could project.  The average Electoral College projections for the 21 sites that updated their projections yesterday were these:

Obama 262.5

McCain 234.8

Ten of the 21 sites included estimates of toss-ups in their projections.  Those 10 sites had an average 83.7 toss-up electoral votes.

Public Policy Polling has released a new poll of the opinions of North Carolinians about the presidential race.  It’s good news for the good guys:

Obama 46

McCain 46

Barr 5

The poll had a large sample of 1,060 likely voters.  It was conducted September 17 to September 19 and had a standard error of +/-3%.